POR 103-119 LAC, December 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat POR 119-103, but POR's shots were worth 110.4 points to LAC's 102.2.

POR 103-119 LAC, December 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	80	88	94.0	15/22	16.5	103	110.4
LAC	69	90	75.7	29/31	26.4	119	102.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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