NOP 108-115 PHX, December 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat NOP 115-108, but NOP's shots were worth 131.8 points to PHX's 122.2.

NOP 108-115 PHX, December 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	88	83	99.3	25/42	32.4	108	131.8
PHX	91	96	101.7	19/25	20.5	115	122.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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