CHI 109-102 PHI, December 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHI beat PHI 109-102, but PHI's shots were worth 121.9 points to CHI's 120.1.

CHI 109-102 PHI, December 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI8690100.319/2519.7109120.1
PHI9381102.521/2419.5102121.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.