WAS 138-117 TOR, December 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. WAS beat TOR 138-117, but TOR's shots were worth 111.8 points to WAS's 109.0.

WAS 138-117 TOR, December 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
WAS9112394.915/1814.1138109.0
TOR919289.925/2721.9117111.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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