ORL 105-120 CHA, December 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat ORL 120-105, but ORL's shots were worth 117.3 points to CHA's 114.8.

ORL 105-120 CHA, December 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	93	85	99.5	20/23	17.8	105	117.3
CHA	87	101	92.7	19/28	22.2	120	114.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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