POR 106-110 ORL, December 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat POR 110-106, and ORL's shots were worth 106.7 points to POR's 103.3.

POR 106-110 ORL, December 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
POR879188.715/1914.6106103.3
ORL858988.421/2318.3110106.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.