DAL 131-130 DEN, December 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DAL beat DEN 131-130, and DAL's shots were worth 117.1 points to DEN's 105.4.

DAL 131-130 DEN, December 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DAL93117105.614/1511.5131117.1
DEN8712097.410/108.0130105.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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