MIA 91-112 TOR, December 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat MIA 112-91, and TOR's shots were worth 116.2 points to MIA's 107.9.

MIA 91-112 TOR, December 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	82	74	91.8	17/20	16.1	91	107.9
TOR	86	96	101.5	16/18	14.6	112	116.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.