ATL 123-126 CHI, December 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHI beat ATL 126-123, and CHI's shots were worth 128.1 points to ATL's 122.6.

ATL 123-126 CHI, December 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	95	110	106.9	13/20	15.7	123	122.6
CHI	91	105	105.8	21/28	22.4	126	128.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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