CHA 126-109 WAS, December 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHA beat WAS 126-109, and CHA's shots were worth 123.6 points to WAS's 121.0.

CHA 126-109 WAS, December 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHA93104101.322/2722.4126123.6
WAS9790103.519/2317.4109121.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.