GSW 120-97 ORL, December 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat ORL 120-97, and GSW's shots were worth 117.9 points to ORL's 109.6.

GSW 120-97 ORL, December 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	89	103	98.8	17/24	19.2	120	117.9
ORL	87	79	89.6	18/26	20.0	97	109.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.