OKC 119-103 MEM, December 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat MEM 119-103, and OKC's shots were worth 114.3 points to MEM's 109.3.

OKC 119-103 MEM, December 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OKC94107102.312/1411.9119114.3
MEM838690.517/2318.7103109.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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