SAC 125-124 HOU, December 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat HOU 125-124, and SAC's shots were worth 115.7 points to HOU's 113.8.

SAC 125-124 HOU, December 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAC9510088.025/3627.7125115.7
HOU9410695.018/2418.8124113.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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