MIN 103-100 MIL, December 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat MIL 103-100, and MIN's shots were worth 114.1 points to MIL's 109.8.

MIN 103-100 MIL, December 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN888896.715/2317.4103114.1
MIL878394.117/2015.6100109.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.