ATL 150-152 CHI, December 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHI beat ATL 152-150, and CHI's shots were worth 143.5 points to ATL's 135.1.

ATL 150-152 CHI, December 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	98	125	110.2	25/32	24.9	150	135.1
CHI	92	126	112.6	26/39	30.9	152	143.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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