GSW 119-116 PHX, December 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat PHX 119-116, and GSW's shots were worth 118.0 points to PHX's 110.4.

GSW 119-116 PHX, December 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	92	101	98.4	18/24	19.6	119	118.0
PHX	88	96	90.4	20/24	19.9	116	110.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.