MEM 122-130 WAS, December 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. WAS beat MEM 130-122, and WAS's shots were worth 127.3 points to MEM's 124.1.

MEM 122-130 WAS, December 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MEM100106106.716/2217.5122124.1
WAS99111106.819/2620.5130127.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.