PHI 121-114 DAL, December 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHI beat DAL 121-114, and PHI's shots were worth 141.1 points to DAL's 110.6.

PHI 121-114 DAL, December 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	102	100	119.3	21/28	21.8	121	141.1
DAL	83	93	93.5	21/22	17.1	114	110.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.