CLE 125-136 CHI, December 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHI beat CLE 136-125, but CLE's shots were worth 134.7 points to CHI's 129.3.

CLE 125-136 CHI, December 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	101	110	119.4	15/19	15.2	125	134.7
CHI	102	124	117.3	12/15	12.0	136	129.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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