POR 134-133 SAC, December 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat SAC 134-133, and POR's shots were worth 129.1 points to SAC's 124.2.

POR 134-133 SAC, December 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	103	113	104.2	21/33	24.9	134	129.1
SAC	94	102	97.7	31/34	26.5	133	124.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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