UTA 135-143 LAL, December 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat UTA 143-135, and LAL's shots were worth 128.5 points to UTA's 120.2.

UTA 135-143 LAL, December 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA8310484.431/4735.8135120.2
LAL9311199.232/3929.2143128.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.