MIL 105-111 TOR, December 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat MIL 111-105, and TOR's shots were worth 109.8 points to MIL's 100.3.

MIL 105-111 TOR, December 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	84	91	87.6	14/16	12.7	105	100.3
TOR	84	97	92.8	14/21	17.0	111	109.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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