CHA 133-126 ATL, December 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat ATL 133-126, but ATL's shots were worth 114.9 points to CHA's 113.6.

CHA 133-126 ATL, December 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	91	122	100.2	11/17	13.4	133	113.6
ATL	92	107	97.8	19/22	17.0	126	114.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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