MIN 110-116 MEM, December 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat MIN 116-110, but MIN's shots were worth 131.8 points to MEM's 121.4.

MIN 110-116 MEM, December 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN9891111.919/2719.8110131.8
MEM9695101.521/2519.9116121.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.