CHI 127-111 CLE, December 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHI beat CLE 127-111, and CHI's shots were worth 120.6 points to CLE's 115.9.

CHI 127-111 CLE, December 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	89	114	106.3	13/18	14.3	127	120.6
CLE	87	96	101.4	15/18	14.5	111	115.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.