UTA 101-131 OKC, December 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat UTA 131-101, and OKC's shots were worth 105.8 points to UTA's 97.4.

UTA 101-131 OKC, December 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA859288.29/129.210197.4
OKC8812392.08/1813.8131105.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.