PHI 108-112 LAL, December 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat PHI 112-108, but PHI's shots were worth 129.9 points to LAL's 114.8.

PHI 108-112 LAL, December 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHI10285108.923/2621.0108129.9
LAL859593.817/2721.0112114.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.