CHI 91-123 GSW, December 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. GSW beat CHI 123-91, but CHI's shots were worth 116.4 points to GSW's 116.3.

CHI 91-123 GSW, December 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	89	75	101.3	16/19	15.1	91	116.4
GSW	88	110	100.7	13/19	15.7	123	116.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.