CHA 106-115 DEN, December 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat CHA 115-106, and DEN's shots were worth 105.8 points to CHA's 105.4.

CHA 106-115 DEN, December 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHA859088.516/2116.9106105.4
DEN839988.016/2217.8115105.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.