DAL 122-109 HOU, December 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DAL beat HOU 122-109, and DAL's shots were worth 107.2 points to HOU's 102.8.

DAL 122-109 HOU, December 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	82	105	91.5	17/20	15.8	122	107.2
HOU	87	98	92.6	11/13	10.2	109	102.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.