No. GSW beat CLE 99-94, but CLE's shots were worth 127.7 points to GSW's 116.5.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 107 | 84 | 118.2 | 10/12 | 9.6 | 94 | 127.7 |
| GSW | 86 | 79 | 99.2 | 20/23 | 17.3 | 99 | 116.5 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.