CHI 105-120 IND, December 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat CHI 120-105, but CHI's shots were worth 109.5 points to IND's 109.0.

CHI 105-120 IND, December 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI778186.624/2922.9105109.5
IND8410896.912/1612.1120109.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.