CLE 130-117 SAS, December 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat SAS 130-117, and CLE's shots were worth 131.6 points to SAS's 127.8.

CLE 130-117 SAS, December 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	86	108	109.0	22/29	22.6	130	131.6
SAS	93	99	107.4	18/26	20.3	117	127.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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