ATL 133-134 DEN, December 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat ATL 134-133, and DEN's shots were worth 124.2 points to ATL's 122.3.

ATL 133-134 DEN, December 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	95	118	109.0	15/16	13.2	133	122.3
DEN	89	110	99.9	24/30	24.3	134	124.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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