ORL 106-105 MIA, December 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat MIA 106-105, and ORL's shots were worth 114.8 points to MIA's 101.4.

ORL 106-105 MIA, December 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	92	88	96.4	18/24	18.4	106	114.8
MIA	80	87	79.7	18/27	21.6	105	101.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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