No. BOS beat LAL 126-105, but LAL's shots were worth 105.7 points to BOS's 101.2.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 84 | 116 | 91.6 | 10/12 | 9.6 | 126 | 101.2 |
| LAL | 77 | 80 | 81.8 | 25/29 | 23.8 | 105 | 105.7 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.