TOR 120-123 LAL, December 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat TOR 123-120, but TOR's shots were worth 121.4 points to LAL's 121.1.

TOR 120-123 LAL, December 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	89	103	104.8	17/21	16.6	120	121.4
LAL	88	101	100.0	22/26	21.1	123	121.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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