PHI 99-98 GSW, December 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHI beat GSW 99-98, but GSW's shots were worth 111.1 points to PHI's 105.6.

PHI 99-98 GSW, December 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHI858894.011/1411.699105.6
GSW898698.912/1612.298111.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.