DAL 118-108 MIA, December 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat MIA 118-108, but MIA's shots were worth 123.4 points to DAL's 104.6.

DAL 118-108 MIA, December 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	91	108	95.0	10/12	9.5	118	104.6
MIA	101	91	109.0	17/18	14.4	108	123.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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