MIL 113-109 DET, December 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat DET 113-109, but DET's shots were worth 118.5 points to MIL's 110.8.

MIL 113-109 DET, December 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	82	93	94.3	20/21	16.5	113	110.8
DET	95	90	100.4	19/24	18.1	109	118.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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