HOU 121-95 SAC, December 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat SAC 121-95, and HOU's shots were worth 114.6 points to SAC's 101.7.

HOU 121-95 SAC, December 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	91	101	96.2	20/24	18.3	121	114.6
SAC	97	90	94.8	5/10	6.9	95	101.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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