CLE 110-122 POR, December 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. POR beat CLE 122-110, but CLE's shots were worth 129.3 points to POR's 128.8.

CLE 110-122 POR, December 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	94	89	110.3	21/24	19.0	110	129.3
POR	85	88	98.4	34/39	30.3	122	128.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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