NOP 142-149 MIN, December 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat NOP 149-142, and MIN's shots were worth 137.3 points to NOP's 130.1.

NOP 142-149 MIN, December 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	91	112	101.5	30/35	28.6	142	130.1
MIN	104	124	116.5	25/29	20.8	149	137.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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