TOR 121-118 POR, December 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. TOR beat POR 121-118, but POR's shots were worth 125.8 points to TOR's 122.8.

TOR 121-118 POR, December 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	90	107	105.9	14/21	16.9	121	122.8
POR	83	97	100.9	21/32	25.0	118	125.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.