UTA 133-125 HOU, December 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. UTA beat HOU 133-125, but HOU's shots were worth 126.9 points to UTA's 123.9.

UTA 133-125 HOU, December 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	90	104	92.7	29/38	31.2	133	123.9
HOU	93	92	94.8	33/41	32.1	125	126.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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