DEN 121-131 DAL, December 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat DEN 131-121, but DEN's shots were worth 126.9 points to DAL's 111.1.

DEN 121-131 DAL, December 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	99	106	112.4	15/18	14.5	121	126.9
DAL	95	122	100.2	9/14	10.9	131	111.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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