MIA 140-123 LAC, December 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat LAC 140-123, but LAC's shots were worth 121.9 points to MIA's 105.7.

MIA 140-123 LAC, December 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	100	130	95.9	10/12	9.8	140	105.7
LAC	96	95	93.2	28/35	28.8	123	121.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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