IND 119-135 CLE, December 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat IND 135-119, and CLE's shots were worth 130.5 points to IND's 117.8.

IND 119-135 CLE, December 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IND859288.927/3729.0119117.8
CLE98114107.121/2923.4135130.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.