DET 99-98 ATL, December 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DET beat ATL 99-98, and DET's shots were worth 111.4 points to ATL's 102.4.

DET 99-98 ATL, December 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	86	81	92.9	18/24	18.6	99	111.4
ATL	89	90	94.0	8/11	8.4	98	102.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.