MIN 125-112 SAS, November 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat SAS 125-112, and MIN's shots were worth 105.5 points to SAS's 102.5.

MIN 125-112 SAS, November 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN8711595.610/139.9125105.5
SAS849687.416/1915.0112102.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.